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Five warning signs are starting to line up for a possible market correction.
Here are five big-picture risks I am watching: 1. Consumer sentiment is collapsing while the market is near all-time highs. Michigan Consumer Sentiment has fallen to extreme lows while the market continues pressing higher. We saw a similar divergence in 2021 before the 2022 correction. 2. Markets often test a new Fed Chair. Leadership transitions at the Federal Reserve can create uncertainty, and markets have a tendency to probe that uncertainty. 3. The generals may be weaken
David Bean
6 days ago2 min read


How Strong is the Stock Market Rally Historically? Exceeding Dot Com?
The Nasdaq-100 / NQ rally from March 31, 2026 through May 6, 2026 ranks as one of the strongest 26-session upside runs since 1997 when measured on 15-minute day-session data. Using 26 full day-session windows (09:45 to 16:00, 15-minute bars), the period produced: Return: +23.09% Max Drawdown: -2.55% Return / |Drawdown| Ratio: 9.04 That ranks this move: #8 out of 7,245 total 26-session windows since 1997 That places it in the top 0.11% historically. Why this stands out The mos
David Bean
May 73 min read


Technical Bearish Indicators for Stock Indexes No One is Talking About
While the rally in the stock market since the April lows is one of the more impressive bullish moves in the history of the stock market, there is a stealth bearish technical pattern that has started in the second half of 2025 in the Nasdaq 100 . There have only been two years in the history of the Nasdaq 100 that we have seen this pattern on an annual basis and both times, it has preceded a major correction. In the history of the Nasdaq 100, when there is an annual return of
David Bean
Oct 30, 20252 min read


Navigating Unprecedented Volatility with Data Driven Analysis
Navigating Unprecedented Volatility with Data-Driven Analysis In algorithmic trading, quantifying market behavior is essential for...
David Bean
Apr 9, 20253 min read


Characterizing Price Action for Quant Trading in Managed Accounts
As long as markets remain freely traded, true price discovery will ultimately prevail—even if there has been an extended, multi-year...
David Bean
Jan 14, 20251 min read


Soybeans and Inflation
Soybeans futures are up 5% in last two trading days. Will Commodity inflation be a catalyst for another move higher in Consumer Price...
David Bean
Jan 13, 20251 min read


How Does the Nasdaq 100 Trade on FOMC Days
📈 How Does the Nasdaq 100 Trade on FOMC Days? 2024 has been a standout year, posting the largest annual gain on FOMC Days—by a factor of...
David Bean
Dec 17, 20241 min read


Is the Market Poised for a Shift? All Eyes on the FOMC Next Week
Next week marks the final FOMC meeting of the year, with the much-anticipated announcement at 2:00 PM EST on Wednesday, December 18th. As...
David Bean
Dec 13, 20241 min read


Market Divergences Similar to 2007 in Nasdaq 100 Generate Technical Indicators that Point to a Potential Bear Market
A Rare Market Phenomenon in 2024: Insights from Nasdaq 100 Performance The Nasdaq 100's performance in 2024 (YTD) has highlighted a...
David Bean
Dec 2, 20241 min read


Russell 2000 Seven Year Day Session Bear Market
The day session for the Russell 2000 peaked 7 years ago. If you went long the open and sold the close in the Russell 2000 futures, even...
David Bean
Nov 11, 20241 min read


Most Efficient Nasdaq 100 Since 2009
Intra-day today, on November 7, 2024, FOMC Day and two days post-election, the Nasdaq 100 index is up over 4,000 points on the year from...
David Bean
Nov 7, 20242 min read
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